Capital Gold Group Report: Why should gold stop at $1,500?

Commentary: There are plenty more shoes to drop
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Euphoria over bank bailouts and the temporarily buoyant stock markets is masking a sober reality.
The piper still has to be paid.
One fairly sanguine estimate of the cost of salvaging Wall Street came
Tuesday morning from analysts at Merrill Lynch. They figure the
inflationary effect of all the bank bailout measures now underway will
push gold to $1,500 an ounce and oil back to $150 a barrel.
The analysts don't offer a timeline, but the way markets have been jumping around lately it could be any day now.
Perhaps the real question is: why stop at $1,500?
All the world's governments have managed to do so far is to stop the
bleeding from the credit crunch injuries that we actually know about.
There's still going to be a very nasty recession. And it will happen simultaneously in most of the developed world.
Fewer people will have jobs. The interest rate on their adjustable
mortgages will be shooting up. There are bound to be more foreclosures,
and more toxic debts.
That doesn't even begin
to look at what happens as more credit card debt goes bad, or the truly
enormous derivatives markets.
For its part, Wall Street has completely lost any credibility in
arguing against increased governmental spending. They are the first and
biggest pigs at the troughs each day, even if they are being force fed.
And with a U.S.
administration that's overseen the biggest deficits in history about to
be replaced by the closest thing to a socialist government America's
ever had, "stimulus" spending will likely remain high on Washington's
agenda.
Given all that, $1,500 for gold looks more like a floor than a ceiling in the years to come.
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